Port Melbourne Sharks vs North Sunshine Eagles: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Port Melbourne Sharksvs
North Sunshine EaglesThe model puts North Sunshine Eagles at 62%. The model leans toward North Sunshine Eagles. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Port Melbourne Sharks.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Port Melbourne Sharks have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- North Sunshine Eagles have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Port Melbourne Sharks have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- North Sunshine Eagles is priced at 1.4.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | |||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Port Melbourne Sharks at 19%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts North Sunshine Eagles at 62%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward North Sunshine Eagles. Port Melbourne Sharks is priced at 5.9. The draw is priced at 4.6. North Sunshine Eagles is priced at 1.4.
Port Melbourne Sharks have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Port Melbourne Sharks have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. North Sunshine Eagles have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Port Melbourne Sharks or North Sunshine Eagles?
Our model rates North Sunshine Eagles as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Port Melbourne Sharks vs North Sunshine Eagles?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Port Melbourne Sharks wins, 0 draws, 0 North Sunshine Eagles wins.
Odds movement
League table
Australia. Victoria Premier League 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melbourne Knights | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 35:16 | 41 |
| 2 |  Northcote City | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 34:20 | 39 |
| 3 |  Brunswick Juventus | 20 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 40:30 | 39 |
| 4 |  Melbourne Victory II | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 48:35 | 31 |
| 5 |  Bulleen Lions | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32:26 | 29 |
| 6 |  Melbourne Srbija | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 24:21 | 29 |
| 7 |  Eltham Redbacks | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 45:34 | 28 |
| 8 |  North Geelong Warriors | 18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 32:34 | 28 |
| 9 |  Manningham United | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 33:38 | 26 |
| 10 |  Western United II | 20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 42:50 | 25 |
| 11 |  Brunswick City | 19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 35:41 | 23 |
| 12 |  Langwarrin | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 36:45 | 23 |
| 13 | North Sunshine Eagles | 19 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 23:36 | 15 |
| 14 | Port Melbourne Sharks | 19 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 10:43 | 10 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.