Nunawading City vs Goulburn Valley Suns: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Nunawading Cityvs
Goulburn Valley SunsThe model puts Goulburn Valley Suns at 55%. The model leans toward Goulburn Valley Suns. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Nunawading City (4-1-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Nunawading City have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Goulburn Valley Suns have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nunawading City have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Goulburn Valley Suns is priced at 1.59.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Nunawading City at 23%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Goulburn Valley Suns at 55%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Goulburn Valley Suns. Nunawading City is priced at 4.365. The draw is priced at 4.1. Goulburn Valley Suns is priced at 1.59.
Nunawading City have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Nunawading City have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Goulburn Valley Suns have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Nunawading City or Goulburn Valley Suns?
Our model rates Goulburn Valley Suns as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Nunawading City vs Goulburn Valley Suns?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 4 Nunawading City wins, 1 draws, 0 Goulburn Valley Suns wins.
Odds movement
League table
Australia. Victoria Premier League 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Malvern City | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 42:22 | 40 |
| 2 | Goulburn Valley Suns | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 42:25 | 39 |
| 3 |  Essendon Royals | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 49:30 | 37 |
| 4 |  Bayside Argonauts | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 37:28 | 31 |
| 5 |  Box Hill United | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 29:24 | 29 |
| 6 |  Keilor Park | 18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 25:26 | 28 |
| 7 |  Whittlesea United | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 31:23 | 27 |
| 8 |  Eastern Lions | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 30:26 | 23 |
| 9 |  Springvale White Eagles | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 24:35 | 23 |
| 10 | Nunawading City | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 18:29 | 22 |
| 11 |  Werribee City | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 26:34 | 20 |
| 12 |  Kingston City | 19 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 19:40 | 20 |
| 13 |  Altona City | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 17:27 | 16 |
| 14 |  Moreland City | 17 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 20:40 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.