Asvellir vs Knattspyrnufelag Vesturbaejar: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Asvellirvs
Knattspyrnufelag VesturbaejarThe model puts Knattspyrnufelag Vesturbaejar at 58%. The model leans toward Knattspyrnufelag Vesturbaejar. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Knattspyrnufelag Vesturbaejar.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Asvellir have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Knattspyrnufelag Vesturbaejar have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Knattspyrnufelag Vesturbaejar is priced at 1.58.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Asvellir at 23%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Knattspyrnufelag Vesturbaejar at 58%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market leans toward Knattspyrnufelag Vesturbaejar. Asvellir is priced at 3.885. The draw is priced at 4.75. Knattspyrnufelag Vesturbaejar is priced at 1.58.
Asvellir have 1 wins in their last 3 matches. Knattspyrnufelag Vesturbaejar have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Knattspyrnufelag Vesturbaejar are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 64% for both teams to score. The model gives 69% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Asvellir or Knattspyrnufelag Vesturbaejar?
Our model rates Knattspyrnufelag Vesturbaejar as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Asvellir vs Knattspyrnufelag Vesturbaejar?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.