Sporting Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sporting Jacksonvillevs
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsThe model puts Pittsburgh Riverhounds at 52%. The model leans toward Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sporting Jacksonville have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sporting Jacksonville have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds is priced at 1.747.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sporting Jacksonville at 22%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Pittsburgh Riverhounds at 52%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Sporting Jacksonville is priced at 4.22. The draw is priced at 3.45. Pittsburgh Riverhounds is priced at 1.747.
Sporting Jacksonville have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Sporting Jacksonville have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Pittsburgh Riverhounds have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sporting Jacksonville or Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our model rates Pittsburgh Riverhounds as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sporting Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Sporting Jacksonville wins, 0 draws, 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds wins.
League table
USA. USL| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:12 | 31 |
| 2 |  Charleston Battery | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30:21 | 26 |
| 3 |  Detroit City | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 4 |  Louisville City | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25:22 | 24 |
| 5 |  Indy Eleven | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 15:15 | 20 |
| 7 |  Hartford Athletic | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12:13 | 19 |
| 8 |  Miami | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18:24 | 18 |
| 9 |  Rhode Island | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23:18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 11 |  Brooklyn FC | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 12 |  Loudoun United | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17:28 | 11 |
| 13 | Sporting Jacksonville | 15 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 19:41 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.