Sent-George Willawong vs Robina City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sent-George Willawongvs
Robina CityThe model puts Robina City at 57%. The model leans toward Robina City. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Robina City.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sent-George Willawong have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Robina City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sent-George Willawong have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Robina City is priced at 1.62.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 3 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sent-George Willawong at 21%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Robina City at 57%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Robina City. Sent-George Willawong is priced at 4.315. The draw is priced at 3.96. Robina City is priced at 1.62.
Sent-George Willawong have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Sent-George Willawong have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Robina City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sent-George Willawong or Robina City?
Our model rates Robina City as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sent-George Willawong vs Robina City?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Sent-George Willawong wins, 0 draws, 0 Robina City wins.
Odds movement
League table
Australia. Queensland Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Broadbeach United | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 46:15 | 45 |
| 2 |  Brisbane Strikers | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42:14 | 42 |
| 3 |  Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 36:22 | 29 |
| 4 |  Ipswich FC | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 27:24 | 28 |
| 5 |  Caboolture | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 34:30 | 26 |
| 6 | Robina City | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 28:20 | 25 |
| 7 |  Redlands United | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 34:31 | 24 |
| 8 |  Holland Park Hawks | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:33 | 24 |
| 9 |  Logan Lightning | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 30:33 | 20 |
| 10 |  North Star | 18 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 16:37 | 12 |
| 11 | Sent-George Willawong | 17 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 10:39 | 10 |
| 12 |  Capalaba | 17 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 16:50 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.