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Australia. New South Wales Premier League 2

Parramatta vs Granville Rage: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Parramatta ParramattavsGranville Rage Granville Rage
Our predictionParramatta to win
Model score: High · 82/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Parramatta at 62%. The model leans toward Parramatta. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · ParramattaDraw2 · Granville Rage
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.73+16.7%
1X2Parramatta1.50+1.6%
1X2Granville Rage4.70-0.8%
1X2Draw4.50-0.8%
BTTSYes1.38-16.7%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Parramatta
74
Granville Rage
44

Expected goals

2.27Parramatta
xG
0.81Granville Rage
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score50%

Recent form

ParramattaWWLLW
Granville RageDWLDW

Most likely scorelines

2-011.9%
1-010.4%
2-19.6%
3-09.0%
1-18.4%
3-17.3%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Parramatta Granville Rage

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Parramatta win1.50Fair (+1.6%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0542
11083
2121041
3973
4542
522

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Parramatta at 62%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Granville Rage at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Parramatta. Parramatta is priced at 1.5. The draw is priced at 4.5. Granville Rage is priced at 4.7.

Parramatta have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Parramatta are on 2 wins in a row. Granville Rage have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 59% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Parramatta or Granville Rage?

Our model rates Parramatta as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Parramatta vs Granville Rage?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

4.994.093.202.311.42
Home 1.50 Draw 4.50 Away 4.70

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.