Gwelup Croatia vs Inglewood United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Gwelup Croatiavs
Inglewood UnitedThe model puts Inglewood United at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Gwelup Croatia (5-0-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Gwelup Croatia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Inglewood United have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gwelup Croatia have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Inglewood United is priced at 2.06.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Gwelup Croatia at 32%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Inglewood United at 43%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Inglewood United. Gwelup Croatia is priced at 3.11. The draw is priced at 3.4. Inglewood United is priced at 2.06.
Gwelup Croatia have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Inglewood United have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Gwelup Croatia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Inglewood United have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Gwelup Croatia or Inglewood United?
Our model rates Inglewood United as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Gwelup Croatia vs Inglewood United?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 5 Gwelup Croatia wins, 0 draws, 1 Inglewood United wins.
League table
Australia. West Australia. Division 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UWA Nedlands | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 37:17 | 35 |
| 2 |  Floreat Athena | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34:16 | 33 |
| 3 |  Joondalup City | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27:21 | 28 |
| 4 |  Mandurah City | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 36:27 | 26 |
| 5 | Inglewood United | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 13:15 | 24 |
| 6 |  Kingsley Westside | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 24:22 | 22 |
| 7 |  Cockburn City | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 28:31 | 19 |
| 8 |  Quinns | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19:30 | 18 |
| 9 |  Murdoch University Melville | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 25:30 | 15 |
| 10 | Gwelup Croatia | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21:30 | 15 |
| 11 |  Curtin University | 15 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 11:23 | 9 |
| 12 |  Subiaco | 15 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 25:38 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.