Central Coast Mariners Academy U21 vs Blacktown Spartans: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Central Coast Mariners Academy U21vs
Blacktown SpartansThe model puts Blacktown Spartans at 53%. The model leans toward Blacktown Spartans. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Central Coast Mariners Academy U21 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Blacktown Spartans have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Central Coast Mariners Academy U21 have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Blacktown Spartans is priced at 1.67.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Central Coast Mariners Academy U21 at 24%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Blacktown Spartans at 53%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Blacktown Spartans. Central Coast Mariners Academy U21 is priced at 3.875. The draw is priced at 4.1. Blacktown Spartans is priced at 1.67.
Central Coast Mariners Academy U21 have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Blacktown Spartans have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Central Coast Mariners Academy U21 have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Blacktown Spartans have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Central Coast Mariners Academy U21 or Blacktown Spartans?
Our model rates Blacktown Spartans as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Central Coast Mariners Academy U21 vs Blacktown Spartans?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Central Coast Mariners Academy U21 wins, 2 draws, 2 Blacktown Spartans wins.
League table
Australia. New South Wales Premier League 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 56:30 | 47 |
| 2 |  Northern Tigers | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 41:21 | 43 |
| 3 |  Canterbury Bankstown | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 56:37 | 41 |
| 4 |  Bankstown City Lions | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 5 |  Macarthur Rams | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30:24 | 39 |
| 6 |  Rydalmere Lions | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 33:34 | 34 |
| 7 |  Bulls Academy | 23 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 44:34 | 33 |
| 8 |  Hills United | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 40:38 | 33 |
| 9 |  Hakoah Sydney City East | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 40:38 | 30 |
| 10 | Central Coast Mariners Academy U21 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 39:43 | 27 |
| 11 |  Hurstville | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 34:38 | 27 |
| 12 |  Inter Lions | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 29:42 | 25 |
| 13 |  Newcastle Jets II | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 43:52 | 23 |
| 14 |  Dulwich Hill | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 26:44 | 23 |
| 15 |  Prospect United SC | 23 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 22:41 | 18 |
| 16 |  Western City Rangers | 23 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 26:46 | 16 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.