Hakoah Sydney City East vs Hurstville: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Hakoah Sydney City East at 46%. The model leans toward Hakoah Sydney City East. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hakoah Sydney City East have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hurstville have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hakoah Sydney City East is priced at 2.01.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hakoah Sydney City East at 46%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Hurstville at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Hakoah Sydney City East. Hakoah Sydney City East is priced at 2.01. The draw is priced at 3.58. Hurstville is priced at 3.08.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Hakoah Sydney City East have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Hurstville have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hakoah Sydney City East or Hurstville?
Our model rates Hakoah Sydney City East as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hakoah Sydney City East vs Hurstville?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Hakoah Sydney City East wins, 1 draws, 0 Hurstville wins.
Odds movement
League table
Australia. New South Wales Premier League 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 56:30 | 47 | |
| 2 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 39:19 | 42 | |
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 40:37 | 40 | |
| 4 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30:24 | 39 | |
| 5 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 54:36 | 38 | |
| 6 | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 38:36 | 32 | |
| 7 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 32:34 | 31 | |
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 39:31 | 30 | |
| 9 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 39:37 | 29 | |
| 10 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 39:43 | 27 | |
| 11 | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 33:37 | 26 | |
| 12 | 22 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 27:40 | 24 | |
| 13 | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 23:39 | 23 | |
| 14 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 41:50 | 22 | |
| 15 | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 21:39 | 18 | |
| 16 | 22 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 26:45 | 16 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.