Rydalmere Lions vs Western City Rangers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Rydalmere Lions at 48%. The model leans toward Rydalmere Lions. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Rydalmere Lions have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Western City Rangers have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rydalmere Lions have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Rydalmere Lions is priced at 1.91.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Rydalmere Lions at 48%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Western City Rangers at 27%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Rydalmere Lions. Rydalmere Lions is priced at 1.91. The draw is priced at 3.62. Western City Rangers is priced at 3.32.
Rydalmere Lions have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Western City Rangers have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Rydalmere Lions have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Rydalmere Lions are on 2 wins in a row. Western City Rangers have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Rydalmere Lions or Western City Rangers?
Our model rates Rydalmere Lions as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Rydalmere Lions vs Western City Rangers?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 3 Rydalmere Lions wins, 0 draws, 2 Western City Rangers wins.
Odds movement
League table
Australia. New South Wales Premier League 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 56:30 | 47 | |
| 2 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 39:19 | 42 | |
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 40:37 | 40 | |
| 4 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30:24 | 39 | |
| 5 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 54:36 | 38 | |
| 6 | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 38:36 | 32 | |
| 7 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 32:34 | 31 | |
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 39:31 | 30 | |
| 9 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 39:37 | 29 | |
| 10 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 39:43 | 27 | |
| 11 | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 33:37 | 26 | |
| 12 | 22 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 27:40 | 24 | |
| 13 | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 23:39 | 23 | |
| 14 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 41:50 | 22 | |
| 15 | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 21:39 | 18 | |
| 16 | 22 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 26:45 | 16 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.