Inter Lions vs Hills United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Inter Lionsvs
Hills UnitedThe model puts Inter Lions at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Inter Lions.
- +The head-to-head record favours Inter Lions (2-1-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Inter Lions have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hills United have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Inter Lions have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Inter Lions is priced at 2.26.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Inter Lions at 44%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Hills United at 34%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Inter Lions is priced at 2.26. The draw is priced at 3.7. Hills United is priced at 2.5.
Inter Lions have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Inter Lions have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Hills United have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Inter Lions or Hills United?
Our model rates Inter Lions as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Inter Lions vs Hills United?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 2 Inter Lions wins, 1 draws, 0 Hills United wins.
Odds movement
League table
Australia. New South Wales Premier League 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Blacktown Spartans | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 56:30 | 47 |
| 2 |  Northern Tigers | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 39:19 | 42 |
| 3 |  Bankstown City Lions | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 4 |  Macarthur Rams | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30:24 | 39 |
| 5 |  Canterbury Bankstown | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 54:36 | 38 |
| 6 | Hills United | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 38:36 | 32 |
| 7 |  Rydalmere Lions | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 32:34 | 31 |
| 8 |  Bulls Academy | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 39:31 | 30 |
| 9 |  Hakoah Sydney City East | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 39:37 | 29 |
| 10 |  Central Coast Mariners Academy U21 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 39:43 | 27 |
| 11 |  Hurstville | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 33:37 | 26 |
| 12 | Inter Lions | 22 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 27:40 | 24 |
| 13 |  Dulwich Hill | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 23:39 | 23 |
| 14 |  Newcastle Jets II | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 41:50 | 22 |
| 15 |  Prospect United SC | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 21:39 | 18 |
| 16 |  Western City Rangers | 22 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 26:45 | 16 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.