Miami City vs Lakeland United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Miami Cityvs
Lakeland UnitedThe model puts Lakeland United at 65%. The model leans toward Lakeland United. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Miami City.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Miami City have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lakeland United have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Miami City have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Lakeland United is priced at 1.42.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Miami City at 17%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Lakeland United at 65%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Lakeland United. Miami City is priced at 5.62. The draw is priced at 4.8. Lakeland United is priced at 1.42.
Miami City have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Lakeland United have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Miami City have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Lakeland United have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Lakeland United are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Miami City or Lakeland United?
Our model rates Lakeland United as the most likely outcome at 65% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Miami City vs Lakeland United?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Miami City wins, 0 draws, 1 Lakeland United wins.
League table
USA. USL League Two| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vermont Green | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 60:10 | 37 |
| 2 |  New England | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 32:21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Western Mass Pioneers | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25:16 | 27 |
| 4 |  Black Rock | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 5 |  Albany Rush | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 21:33 | 19 |
| 6 |  Seacoast United Phantoms | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 25:28 | 14 |
| 7 |  Connecticut Rush | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 19:26 | 14 |
| 8 |  Boston Bolts | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17:26 | 12 |
| 9 |  AC Connecticut | 13 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 17:29 | 6 |
| 10 |  Boston City | 13 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 17:49 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.