Oakland County vs Midwest United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Oakland Countyvs
Midwest UnitedThe model puts Oakland County at 47%. The model leans toward Oakland County. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Oakland County.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Oakland County have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Midwest United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Oakland County have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Oakland County is priced at 2.03.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Oakland County at 47%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Midwest United at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Oakland County. Oakland County is priced at 2.03. The draw is priced at 3.78. Midwest United is priced at 2.904.
Oakland County have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Midwest United have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Oakland County have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Midwest United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Oakland County or Midwest United?
Our model rates Oakland County as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Oakland County vs Midwest United?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Oakland County wins, 2 draws, 2 Midwest United wins.
League table
USA. USL League Two| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vermont Green | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 60:10 | 37 |
| 2 |  New England | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 32:21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Western Mass Pioneers | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25:16 | 27 |
| 4 |  Black Rock | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 5 |  Albany Rush | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 21:33 | 19 |
| 6 |  Seacoast United Phantoms | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 25:28 | 14 |
| 7 |  Connecticut Rush | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 19:26 | 14 |
| 8 |  Boston Bolts | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17:26 | 12 |
| 9 |  AC Connecticut | 13 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 17:29 | 6 |
| 10 |  Boston City | 13 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 17:49 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.