Motown II vs Long Island Rough Riders: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Motown IIvs
Long Island Rough RidersThe model puts Motown II at 53%. The model leans toward Motown II. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Motown II have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Long Island Rough Riders have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Motown II have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Motown II is priced at 1.72.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Motown II at 53%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Long Island Rough Riders at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Motown II. Motown II is priced at 1.72. The draw is priced at 3.95. Long Island Rough Riders is priced at 3.74.
Motown II have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Long Island Rough Riders have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Motown II have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Long Island Rough Riders have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Motown II or Long Island Rough Riders?
Our model rates Motown II as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Motown II vs Long Island Rough Riders?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Motown II wins, 1 draws, 2 Long Island Rough Riders wins.
League table
USA. USL League Two| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vermont Green | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 60:10 | 37 |
| 2 |  New England | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 32:21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Western Mass Pioneers | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25:16 | 27 |
| 4 |  Black Rock | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 5 |  Albany Rush | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 21:33 | 19 |
| 6 |  Seacoast United Phantoms | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 25:28 | 14 |
| 7 |  Connecticut Rush | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 19:26 | 14 |
| 8 |  Boston Bolts | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17:26 | 12 |
| 9 |  AC Connecticut | 13 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 17:29 | 6 |
| 10 |  Boston City | 13 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 17:49 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.