Tucson vs Capo II: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Tucsonvs
Capo IIThe model puts Tucson at 60%. The model leans toward Tucson. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Tucson (1-2-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Tucson have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Capo II have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tucson have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Tucson is priced at 1.54.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Tucson at 60%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Capo II at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Tucson. Tucson is priced at 1.54. The draw is priced at 4.3. Capo II is priced at 4.555.
Tucson have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Tucson have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Capo II have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tucson or Capo II?
Our model rates Tucson as the most likely outcome at 60% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tucson vs Capo II?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 1 Tucson wins, 2 draws, 0 Capo II wins.
League table
USA. USL League Two| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vermont Green | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 60:10 | 37 |
| 2 |  New England | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 32:21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Western Mass Pioneers | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25:16 | 27 |
| 4 |  Black Rock | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 5 |  Albany Rush | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 21:33 | 19 |
| 6 |  Seacoast United Phantoms | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 25:28 | 14 |
| 7 |  Connecticut Rush | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 19:26 | 14 |
| 8 |  Boston Bolts | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17:26 | 12 |
| 9 |  AC Connecticut | 13 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 17:29 | 6 |
| 10 |  Boston City | 13 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 17:49 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.