Valentine Phoenix vs Kahibah: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Valentine Phoenixvs
KahibahThe model puts Valentine Phoenix at 45%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Valentine Phoenix have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kahibah have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Valentine Phoenix have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Valentine Phoenix is priced at 2.04.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Valentine Phoenix at 45%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Kahibah at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Valentine Phoenix. Valentine Phoenix is priced at 2.04. The draw is priced at 3.74. Kahibah is priced at 2.905.
Valentine Phoenix have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Valentine Phoenix have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Kahibah have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Valentine Phoenix or Kahibah?
Our model rates Valentine Phoenix as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Valentine Phoenix vs Kahibah?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Valentine Phoenix wins, 0 draws, 0 Kahibah wins.
Odds movement
League table
Australia. NPL Northern NSW| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Broadmeadow Magic | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 47:21 | 37 |
| 2 |  Belmont Swansea United | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 40:30 | 32 |
| 3 |  Weston Workers Bears | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 34:29 | 30 |
| 4 |  Maitland | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33:28 | 30 |
| 5 |  Edgeworth Eagles | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 34:29 | 29 |
| 6 |  Cooks Hill United | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 36:31 | 26 |
| 7 |  Lambton Jaffas | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 35:29 | 22 |
| 8 |  Newcastle Olympic Warriors | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32:30 | 18 |
| 9 |  Adamstown Rosebud | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 25:36 | 17 |
| 10 | Valentine Phoenix | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 15:34 | 16 |
| 11 | Kahibah | 16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 24:38 | 14 |
| 12 |  Charlestown Azzurri | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 24:44 | 14 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.