Weston Workers Bears vs Lambton Jaffas: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Weston Workers Bearsvs
Lambton JaffasThe model puts Weston Workers Bears at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Weston Workers Bears (4-0-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Weston Workers Bears have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lambton Jaffas have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Weston Workers Bears have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Weston Workers Bears is priced at 2.26.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Weston Workers Bears at 42%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Lambton Jaffas at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Weston Workers Bears is priced at 2.26. The draw is priced at 3.68. Lambton Jaffas is priced at 2.51.
Weston Workers Bears have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Lambton Jaffas have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Weston Workers Bears have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Lambton Jaffas have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Weston Workers Bears or Lambton Jaffas?
Our model rates Weston Workers Bears as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Weston Workers Bears vs Lambton Jaffas?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Weston Workers Bears wins, 0 draws, 2 Lambton Jaffas wins.
Odds movement
League table
Australia. NPL Northern NSW| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Broadmeadow Magic | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 47:21 | 37 |
| 2 |  Belmont Swansea United | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 40:30 | 32 |
| 3 |  Edgeworth Eagles | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 34:29 | 29 |
| 4 | Weston Workers Bears | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 31:27 | 27 |
| 5 |  Maitland | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 30:27 | 27 |
| 6 |  Cooks Hill United | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 32:31 | 23 |
| 7 | Lambton Jaffas | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 33:26 | 22 |
| 8 |  Newcastle Olympic Warriors | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32:30 | 18 |
| 9 |  Adamstown Rosebud | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 24:33 | 17 |
| 10 |  Valentine Phoenix | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 15:34 | 16 |
| 11 |  Kahibah | 16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 24:38 | 14 |
| 12 |  Charlestown Azzurri | 16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 24:40 | 14 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.