Broadmeadow Magic vs Newcastle Olympic Warriors: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Broadmeadow Magic at 57%. The model leans toward Broadmeadow Magic. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Newcastle Olympic Warriors (0-0-6).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Broadmeadow Magic have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Newcastle Olympic Warriors have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Broadmeadow Magic is priced at 1.55.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Broadmeadow Magic at 57%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Newcastle Olympic Warriors at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Broadmeadow Magic. Broadmeadow Magic is priced at 1.55. The draw is priced at 4.3. Newcastle Olympic Warriors is priced at 4.46.
Newcastle Olympic Warriors have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
Broadmeadow Magic have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Newcastle Olympic Warriors have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Broadmeadow Magic or Newcastle Olympic Warriors?
Our model rates Broadmeadow Magic as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Broadmeadow Magic vs Newcastle Olympic Warriors?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Broadmeadow Magic wins, 0 draws, 6 Newcastle Olympic Warriors wins.
League table
Australia. NPL Northern NSW| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 47:21 | 37 | |
| 2 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 40:30 | 32 | |
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 34:29 | 30 | |
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33:28 | 30 | |
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 34:29 | 29 | |
| 6 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 36:31 | 26 | |
| 7 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 35:29 | 22 | |
| 8 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32:30 | 18 | |
| 9 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 25:36 | 17 | |
| 10 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 15:34 | 16 | |
| 11 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 24:38 | 14 | |
| 12 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 24:44 | 14 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.