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Australia. NPL Northern NSW

Broadmeadow Magic vs Newcastle Olympic Warriors: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Broadmeadow Magic Broadmeadow MagicvsNewcastle Olympic Warriors Newcastle Olympic Warriors
Our predictionBroadmeadow Magic to win
Model score: Medium · 56/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Broadmeadow Magic at 57%. The model leans toward Broadmeadow Magic. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Broadmeadow MagicDraw2 · Newcastle Olympic Warriors
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.73+20.0%
1X2Newcastle Olympic Warriors4.46+2.0%
1X2Draw4.30-0.8%
1X2Broadmeadow Magic1.55-1.2%
BTTSYes1.38-20.0%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Broadmeadow MagicLDLDL
Newcastle Olympic WarriorsLLWDL
Team strength rating
Broadmeadow Magic
49
Newcastle Olympic Warriors
45

Most likely scorelines

1-013.1%
2-012.0%
1-110.5%
2-19.7%
3-07.4%
0-07.1%

Expected goals

1.84Broadmeadow Magic
xG
0.80Newcastle Olympic Warriors
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score46%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Broadmeadow Magic Newcastle Olympic Warriors

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Broadmeadow Magic win1.55Fair (-1.2%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0762
1131041
2121041
3762
4331
511

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Broadmeadow Magic at 57%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Newcastle Olympic Warriors at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Broadmeadow Magic. Broadmeadow Magic is priced at 1.55. The draw is priced at 4.3. Newcastle Olympic Warriors is priced at 4.46.

Newcastle Olympic Warriors have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.

Broadmeadow Magic have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Newcastle Olympic Warriors have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Broadmeadow Magic or Newcastle Olympic Warriors?

Our model rates Broadmeadow Magic as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Broadmeadow Magic vs Newcastle Olympic Warriors?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 0 Broadmeadow Magic wins, 0 draws, 6 Newcastle Olympic Warriors wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Australia. NPL Northern NSW
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Broadmeadow Magic17112447:2137
2Belmont Swansea United1793540:3032
3Weston Workers Bears1795334:2930
4Maitland1795333:2830
5Edgeworth Eagles1784534:2929
6Cooks Hill United1876536:3126
7Lambton Jaffas1868435:2922
8Newcastle Olympic Warriors1747632:3018
9Adamstown Rosebud1849525:3617
10Valentine Phoenix1749415:3416
11Kahibah16410224:3814
12Charlestown Azzurri17411224:4414
Promotion - Australia. NPL Northern NSW (Play-off) Australia. NPL Northern NSW - (Relegation (Play-off)) Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.