Egnatia vs Petrocub: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Egnatiavs
PetrocubThe model puts Egnatia at 50%. The model leans toward Egnatia. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Petrocub.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Egnatia have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Petrocub have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Egnatia is priced at 1.83.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Egnatia at 50%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Petrocub at 23%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Egnatia. Egnatia is priced at 1.83. The draw is priced at 3.34. Petrocub is priced at 4.52.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Egnatia have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Petrocub have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Egnatia or Petrocub?
Our model rates Egnatia as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Egnatia vs Petrocub?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Egnatia wins, 1 draws, 0 Petrocub wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.