Shenzhen Juniors vs Jiangxi Dingnan United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Shenzhen Juniorsvs
Jiangxi Dingnan UnitedThe model puts Shenzhen Juniors at 52%. The model leans toward Shenzhen Juniors. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Shenzhen Juniors have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Jiangxi Dingnan United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Shenzhen Juniors is priced at 1.77.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Shenzhen Juniors at 52%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Jiangxi Dingnan United at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Shenzhen Juniors. Shenzhen Juniors is priced at 1.77. The draw is priced at 3.32. Jiangxi Dingnan United is priced at 4.28.
The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Shenzhen Juniors have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Jiangxi Dingnan United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Shenzhen Juniors or Jiangxi Dingnan United?
Our model rates Shenzhen Juniors as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Shenzhen Juniors vs Jiangxi Dingnan United?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 0 Shenzhen Juniors wins, 2 draws, 0 Jiangxi Dingnan United wins.
League table
China. League One| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guangdong GZ-Power | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27:14 | 30 |
| 2 |  Yanbian Longding | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 3 | Shenzhen Juniors | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 24 |
| 4 |  Nantong Zhiyun | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 12:9 | 23 |
| 5 |  Suzhou Dongwu | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 6 |  Shaanxi Union | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:9 | 19 |
| 7 |  Ningbo | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:16 | 18 |
| 8 |  Nanjing City | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 14:15 | 18 |
| 9 | Yanbian Longding | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:16 | 17 |
| 10 |  Dalian Kun City | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19:20 | 16 |
| 11 | Jiangxi Dingnan United | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18:21 | 16 |
| 12 |  Changchun Yatai | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 20:22 | 15 |
| 13 |  Meizhou Hakka | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 13:29 | 11 |
| 14 |  Foshan Nanshi | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 15:26 | 10 |
| 15 |  Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 14 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 7:18 | 9 |
| 16 | Suzhou Dongwu | 14 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 11:22 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.