Club Atletico Atenas vs Rentistas: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Club Atletico Atenasvs
RentistasThe model puts Club Atletico Atenas at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Club Atletico Atenas.
- +The head-to-head record favours Club Atletico Atenas (5-0-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Club Atletico Atenas have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rentistas have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club Atletico Atenas have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Club Atletico Atenas is priced at 2.59.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Club Atletico Atenas at 39%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Rentistas at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Club Atletico Atenas is priced at 2.59. The draw is priced at 2.88. Rentistas is priced at 2.63.
Club Atletico Atenas have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Rentistas have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Club Atletico Atenas have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Club Atletico Atenas are on 2 wins in a row. Rentistas have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Club Atletico Atenas or Rentistas?
Our model rates Club Atletico Atenas as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Club Atletico Atenas vs Rentistas?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 5 Club Atletico Atenas wins, 0 draws, 1 Rentistas wins.
League table
Uruguay. Segunda Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Atletico Atenas | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 2 |  River Plate Montevideo | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 3 |  Cerrito | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 4 |  Colon Montevideo | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 15 |
| 5 |  Tacuarembo | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 14 |
| 6 |  Centro Atletico Fenix | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:11 | 13 |
| 7 |  Miramar Misiones | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:11 | 13 |
| 8 |  Club Plaza Colonia de Deportes | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10:11 | 13 |
| 9 |  Huracan Del Paso De La Arena | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | 12 |
| 10 |  Club Oriental | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 11 | Rentistas | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:12 | 11 |
| 12 |  La Luz | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 |  FC Paysandu | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11:15 | 7 |
| 14 |  Uruguay Montevideo | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 9:14 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.