Resistencia SC vs Sportivo Carapegua: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Resistencia SCvs
Sportivo CarapeguaThe model puts Resistencia SC at 53%. The model leans toward Resistencia SC. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Sportivo Carapegua (1-2-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Resistencia SC have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sportivo Carapegua have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Resistencia SC have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Resistencia SC is priced at 1.7.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Resistencia SC at 53%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Sportivo Carapegua at 23%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Resistencia SC. Resistencia SC is priced at 1.7. The draw is priced at 3.64. Sportivo Carapegua is priced at 4.22.
Resistencia SC have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Sportivo Carapegua have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Resistencia SC have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Sportivo Carapegua have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Resistencia SC or Sportivo Carapegua?
Our model rates Resistencia SC as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Resistencia SC vs Sportivo Carapegua?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Resistencia SC wins, 2 draws, 3 Sportivo Carapegua wins.
League table
Paraguay. Division Intermedia| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benjamin Aceval | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:12 | 27 |
| 2 |  12 De Junio Villa Hayes | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 27 |
| 3 |  General Caballero JLM | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 29:20 | 24 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Capiatá | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20:15 | 21 |
| 5 |  Sol de America | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16:11 | 21 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Santaní | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 21 |
| 7 |  Guairena | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16:16 | 21 |
| 8 |  Independiente FBC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 9 |  Atletico Tembetary | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20:19 | 18 |
| 10 | Resistencia SC | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 11 | Sportivo Carapegua | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:25 | 15 |
| 12 |  Club Fernando de la Mora | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 13:20 | 14 |
| 13 |  Tacuary | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 14 |  Paraguari Atletico | 13 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 10:16 | 9 |
| 15 |  Encarnacion | 13 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 13:21 | 8 |
| 16 |  3 de Noviembre | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.