Changchun Xidu vs Dalian Yingbo II: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Changchun Xiduvs
Dalian Yingbo IIThe model puts Changchun Xidu at 37%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Changchun Xidu have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dalian Yingbo II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Changchun Xidu is priced at 2.46.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Changchun Xidu at 37%. The model puts the draw at 32%. The model puts Dalian Yingbo II at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Changchun Xidu is priced at 2.46. The draw is priced at 2.77. Dalian Yingbo II is priced at 2.992.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Changchun Xidu have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Dalian Yingbo II have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Changchun Xidu or Dalian Yingbo II?
Our model rates Changchun Xidu as the most likely outcome at 37% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Changchun Xidu vs Dalian Yingbo II?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Changchun Xidu wins, 1 draws, 0 Dalian Yingbo II wins.
League table
China. Second League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shanghai Port II | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 27:10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Shandong Taishan II | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 22:13 | 29 |
| 3 |  Dalian Kewei | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 12:7 | 25 |
| 4 |  Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Taian Tiankuang | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 22 |
| 6 | Dalian Yingbo II | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 14:12 | 21 |
| 7 |  Qingdao Red Lions | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:14 | 17 |
| 8 |  Haimen Codion | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 5:10 | 14 |
| 10 | Changchun Xidu | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:18 | 14 |
| 11 |  Shanghai Segenda | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 14:27 | 11 |
| 12 |  Beijing Institute of Technology | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.