Qingdao Red Lions vs Shandong Taishan II: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Qingdao Red Lionsvs
Shandong Taishan IIThe model puts Shandong Taishan II at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Shandong Taishan II.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Qingdao Red Lions have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Shandong Taishan II have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Qingdao Red Lions have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Shandong Taishan II is priced at 2.37.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Qingdao Red Lions at 28%. The model puts the draw at 32%. The model puts Shandong Taishan II at 40%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Qingdao Red Lions is priced at 3.175. The draw is priced at 2.74. Shandong Taishan II is priced at 2.37.
Qingdao Red Lions have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Qingdao Red Lions have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Shandong Taishan II have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Qingdao Red Lions or Shandong Taishan II?
Our model rates Shandong Taishan II as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Qingdao Red Lions vs Shandong Taishan II?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Qingdao Red Lions wins, 0 draws, 0 Shandong Taishan II wins.
League table
China. Second League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shanghai Port II | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 27:10 | 31 |
| 2 | Shandong Taishan II | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 22:13 | 29 |
| 3 |  Dalian Kewei | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 12:7 | 25 |
| 4 |  Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Taian Tiankuang | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 22 |
| 6 |  Dalian Yingbo II | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 14:12 | 21 |
| 7 | Qingdao Red Lions | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:14 | 17 |
| 8 |  Haimen Codion | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 5:10 | 14 |
| 10 |  Changchun Xidu | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:18 | 14 |
| 11 |  Shanghai Segenda | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 14:27 | 11 |
| 12 |  Beijing Institute of Technology | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.