Dalian Kewei vs Shanghai Segenda: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Dalian Keweivs
Shanghai SegendaThe model puts Dalian Kewei at 60%. The model leans toward Dalian Kewei. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Dalian Kewei.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Dalian Kewei have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Shanghai Segenda have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dalian Kewei is priced at 1.56.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Dalian Kewei at 60%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Shanghai Segenda at 14%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Dalian Kewei. Dalian Kewei is priced at 1.56. The draw is priced at 3.36. Shanghai Segenda is priced at 6.16.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Dalian Kewei have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Shanghai Segenda have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dalian Kewei or Shanghai Segenda?
Our model rates Dalian Kewei as the most likely outcome at 60% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dalian Kewei vs Shanghai Segenda?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Dalian Kewei wins, 1 draws, 0 Shanghai Segenda wins.
League table
China. Second League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shanghai Port II | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 27:10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Shandong Taishan II | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 22:13 | 29 |
| 3 | Dalian Kewei | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 12:7 | 25 |
| 4 |  Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 5 |  Taian Tiankuang | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 22 |
| 6 |  Dalian Yingbo II | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 14:12 | 21 |
| 7 |  Qingdao Red Lions | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:14 | 17 |
| 8 |  Haimen Codion | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 5:10 | 14 |
| 10 |  Changchun Xidu | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:18 | 14 |
| 11 | Shanghai Segenda | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 14:27 | 11 |
| 12 |  Beijing Institute of Technology | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.