Villa Dalmine vs Dock Sud: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Villa Dalminevs
Dock SudThe model puts Villa Dalmine at 47%. The model leans toward Villa Dalmine. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Dock Sud.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Villa Dalmine have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dock Sud have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Villa Dalmine have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Villa Dalmine is priced at 1.853.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Villa Dalmine at 47%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Dock Sud at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Villa Dalmine. Villa Dalmine is priced at 1.853. The draw is priced at 3. Dock Sud is priced at 4.425.
Villa Dalmine have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Dock Sud have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Villa Dalmine have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Dock Sud have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Dock Sud are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Villa Dalmine or Dock Sud?
Our model rates Villa Dalmine as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Villa Dalmine vs Dock Sud?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Villa Dalmine wins, 3 draws, 2 Dock Sud wins.
Match statistics
Villa Dalmine
- 1Rojas
- 2Zurita
- 3Martinez
- 4Gamba
- 5Nizzo
- 6Agorreca
- 7Garzino
- 8Solis
- 9Torres
- 10Prim
- 11Gargiulo
Dock Sud
- 1Tello
- 2Villarreal
- 3Barreiro
- 4Guerrero Науэль
- 5Hernan Leonel Perrone
- 6Lopes
- 7Villalba
- 8Avalos Agustin
- 9Vivas
- 10Gomez Go.
- 11Alvarez
League table
Argentina. Primera B Metropolitana| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excursionistas | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 34:15 | 45 |
| 2 |  Club Atletico Talleres Remedios de Escalada | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 26:10 | 45 |
| 3 |  Arsenal de Sarandi | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 33:17 | 44 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 28:13 | 43 |
| 5 |  Atletico Camioneros | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 27:15 | 41 |
| 6 |  Sportivo Italiano | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 23:20 | 35 |
| 7 |  Real Pilar | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 25:24 | 34 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Armenio | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 25:27 | 32 |
| 9 |  San Martin de Burzaco | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 23:20 | 31 |
| 10 |  Club Comunicaciones | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 26:25 | 31 |
| 11 |  Argentino de Merlo | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 21:21 | 31 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Laferrere | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:29 | 31 |
| 13 |  Deportivo Merlo | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 27:35 | 31 |
| 14 | Dock Sud | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 24:22 | 27 |
| 15 |  Argentino de Quilmes | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 24:25 | 27 |
| 16 |  Deportivo Liniers | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 16:23 | 26 |
| 17 |  Defensores Unidos | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 19:24 | 24 |
| 18 |  Club Atletico Brown | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 16:27 | 23 |
| 19 |  UAI Urquiza | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 12:20 | 22 |
| 20 |  CSyD Flandria | 23 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 18:30 | 22 |
| 21 |  Villa San Carlos | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 24:30 | 21 |
| 22 |  Club Atletico Ituzaingo | 23 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 17:41 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.