Club Fernando de la Mora vs Paraguari Atletico: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Club Fernando de la Moravs
Paraguari AtleticoThe model puts Club Fernando de la Mora at 45%. The model leans toward Club Fernando de la Mora. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Club Fernando de la Mora have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Club Fernando de la Mora is priced at 2.06.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Club Fernando de la Mora at 45%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Paraguari Atletico at 27%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Club Fernando de la Mora. Club Fernando de la Mora is priced at 2.06. The draw is priced at 3.2. Paraguari Atletico is priced at 3.29.
Club Fernando de la Mora have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 38% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Club Fernando de la Mora or Paraguari Atletico?
Our model rates Club Fernando de la Mora as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Club Fernando de la Mora vs Paraguari Atletico?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
Paraguay. Division Intermedia| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benjamin Aceval | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:12 | 27 |
| 2 |  12 De Junio Villa Hayes | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 27 |
| 3 |  General Caballero JLM | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 29:20 | 24 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Capiatá | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20:15 | 21 |
| 5 |  Sol de America | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16:11 | 21 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Santaní | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 21 |
| 7 |  Guairena | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16:16 | 21 |
| 8 |  Independiente FBC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 9 |  Atletico Tembetary | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20:19 | 18 |
| 10 |  Resistencia SC | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 11 |  Sportivo Carapegua | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:25 | 15 |
| 12 | Club Fernando de la Mora | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 13:20 | 14 |
| 13 |  Tacuary | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 14 | Paraguari Atletico | 13 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 10:16 | 9 |
| 15 |  Encarnacion | 13 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 13:21 | 8 |
| 16 |  3 de Noviembre | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.