Guairena vs 12 De Junio Villa Hayes: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Guairenavs
12 De Junio Villa HayesThe model puts 12 De Junio Villa Hayes at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours 12 De Junio Villa Hayes (1-0-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Guairena have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- 12 De Junio Villa Hayes have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Guairena have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- 12 De Junio Villa Hayes is priced at 2.3.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Guairena at 31%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts 12 De Junio Villa Hayes at 40%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Guairena is priced at 2.956. The draw is priced at 3.04. 12 De Junio Villa Hayes is priced at 2.3.
Guairena have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. 12 De Junio Villa Hayes have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
Guairena have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. 12 De Junio Villa Hayes have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Guairena or 12 De Junio Villa Hayes?
Our model rates 12 De Junio Villa Hayes as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Guairena vs 12 De Junio Villa Hayes?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 1 Guairena wins, 0 draws, 3 12 De Junio Villa Hayes wins.
Odds movement
League table
Paraguay. Division Intermedia| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benjamin Aceval | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:12 | 27 |
| 2 |  General Caballero JLM | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 30:20 | 27 |
| 3 | 12 De Junio Villa Hayes | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 27 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Santaní | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 18:11 | 24 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Capiatá | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20:15 | 21 |
| 6 |  Sol de America | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16:11 | 21 |
| 7 | Guairena | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16:16 | 21 |
| 8 |  Independiente FBC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 9 |  Atletico Tembetary | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20:19 | 18 |
| 10 |  Resistencia SC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:18 | 18 |
| 11 |  Sportivo Carapegua | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 16:26 | 16 |
| 12 |  Club Fernando de la Mora | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 15:22 | 15 |
| 13 |  Tacuary | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 14 |  Paraguari Atletico | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 15 |  Encarnacion | 14 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 16 |  3 de Noviembre | 14 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 12:24 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.