Western Suburbs vs Island Bay United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Western Suburbsvs
Island Bay UnitedThe model puts Western Suburbs at 71%. The model leans toward Western Suburbs. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Western Suburbs have 0 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Island Bay United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Western Suburbs is priced at 1.29.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 4 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Western Suburbs at 71%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Island Bay United at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Western Suburbs. Western Suburbs is priced at 1.29. The draw is priced at 5.25. Island Bay United is priced at 7.37.
Western Suburbs have 0 wins in their last 3 matches. Island Bay United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 34% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Western Suburbs or Island Bay United?
Our model rates Western Suburbs as the most likely outcome at 71% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Western Suburbs vs Island Bay United?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.