Wellington Olympic vs Western New Plymouth: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Wellington Olympicvs
Western New PlymouthThe model puts Wellington Olympic at 91%. The model leans toward Wellington Olympic. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Wellington Olympic have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Wellington Olympic is priced at 1.04.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 18 | 4 | ||||
| 2 | 21 | 4 | ||||
| 3 | 17 | 3 | ||||
| 4 | 10 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Wellington Olympic at 91%. The model puts the draw at 6%. The model puts Western New Plymouth at 3%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Wellington Olympic. Wellington Olympic is priced at 1.04. The draw is priced at 17. Western New Plymouth is priced at 29.
Wellington Olympic have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
The model gives 16% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Wellington Olympic or Western New Plymouth?
Our model rates Wellington Olympic as the most likely outcome at 91% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Wellington Olympic vs Western New Plymouth?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.