← All predictions
Chile. Tercera Division

Imperial Unido vs Constitucion Unido: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Imperial Unido Imperial UnidovsConstitucion Unido Constitucion Unido
Our predictionConstitucion Unido to win
Model score: Low · 27/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Constitucion Unido at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Imperial UnidoDraw2 · Constitucion Unido
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.22+4.0%
1X2Constitucion Unido2.42+2.0%
1X2Imperial Unido2.45-0.8%
1X2Draw3.44-1.2%
BTTSYes1.56-4.0%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Imperial Unido
38
Constitucion Unido
51

Most likely scorelines

1-112.3%
1-09.3%
0-18.9%
2-18.4%
1-28.1%
0-06.8%

Recent form

Imperial UnidoLLLLL
Constitucion UnidoDLDWL

Expected goals

1.37Imperial Unido
xG
1.32Constitucion Unido
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score55%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Imperial Unido Constitucion Unido

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Constitucion Unido win2.42Fair (+2.0%)
Double chanceConstitucion Unido or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07963
1912841
26862
33431
41
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Imperial Unido at 36%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Constitucion Unido at 39%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market frames this as a close contest. Imperial Unido is priced at 2.45. The draw is priced at 3.44. Constitucion Unido is priced at 2.42.

Imperial Unido have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Constitucion Unido have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 55% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Imperial Unido or Constitucion Unido?

Our model rates Constitucion Unido as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Imperial Unido vs Constitucion Unido?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward a balanced game.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

3.623.272.922.572.21
Home 2.45 Draw 3.44 Away 2.42

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.