Honka vs HJS Akatemia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Honkavs
HJS AkatemiaThe model puts Honka at 75%. The model leans toward Honka. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours HJS Akatemia.
- −The head-to-head record favours HJS Akatemia (0-1-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Honka have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- HJS Akatemia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Honka is priced at 1.139.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Honka at 75%. The model puts the draw at 13%. The model puts HJS Akatemia at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Honka. Honka is priced at 1.139. The draw is priced at 6.75. HJS Akatemia is priced at 12.
HJS Akatemia have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Honka have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. HJS Akatemia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 33% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Honka or HJS Akatemia?
Our model rates Honka as the most likely outcome at 75% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Honka vs HJS Akatemia?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 0 Honka wins, 1 draws, 4 HJS Akatemia wins.
League table
Finland. Kakkonen. Division 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Honka | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 37:8 | 29 |
| 2 |  Abo IFK | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 29:11 | 27 |
| 3 |  Ilves II | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 28:18 | 20 |
| 4 | HJS Akatemia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:15 | 18 |
| 5 |  Pallo-Iirot | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 21:18 | 17 |
| 6 |  Grankulla | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | 15 |
| 7 |  EPS | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 22:20 | 14 |
| 8 |  EBK | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 17:28 | 11 |
| 9 |  Musan Salama | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 15:37 | 9 |
| 10 |  Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura | 12 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 7:36 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.