Bulleen Lions vs Brunswick City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Bulleen Lionsvs
Brunswick CityThe model puts Bulleen Lions at 54%. The model leans toward Bulleen Lions. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Brunswick City.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Bulleen Lions have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Brunswick City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bulleen Lions have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Bulleen Lions is priced at 1.61.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Bulleen Lions at 54%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Brunswick City at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Bulleen Lions. Bulleen Lions is priced at 1.61. The draw is priced at 4.45. Brunswick City is priced at 3.93.
Bulleen Lions have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Brunswick City have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Bulleen Lions have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Brunswick City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Bulleen Lions or Brunswick City?
Our model rates Bulleen Lions as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Bulleen Lions vs Brunswick City?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Bulleen Lions wins, 1 draws, 2 Brunswick City wins.
Odds movement
League table
Australia. Victoria Premier League 1| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melbourne Knights | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 35:16 | 41 |
| 2 |  Northcote City | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 34:20 | 39 |
| 3 |  Brunswick Juventus | 20 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 40:30 | 39 |
| 4 |  Melbourne Victory II | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 48:35 | 31 |
| 5 |  Eltham Redbacks | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 48:35 | 31 |
| 6 | Bulleen Lions | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32:26 | 29 |
| 7 |  Melbourne Srbija | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 24:22 | 29 |
| 8 |  Manningham United | 20 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 34:38 | 29 |
| 9 |  North Geelong Warriors | 19 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 33:37 | 28 |
| 10 |  Western United II | 20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 42:50 | 25 |
| 11 | Brunswick City | 19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 35:41 | 23 |
| 12 |  Langwarrin | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 36:45 | 23 |
| 13 |  North Sunshine Eagles | 20 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 28:36 | 18 |
| 14 |  Port Melbourne Sharks | 20 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 10:48 | 10 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.