Waterside Karori vs Petone: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Waterside Karorivs
PetoneThe model puts Petone at 52%. The model leans toward Petone. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Waterside Karori have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Petone have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Petone is priced at 1.72.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Waterside Karori at 25%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Petone at 52%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Petone. Waterside Karori is priced at 3.805. The draw is priced at 3.88. Petone is priced at 1.72.
Waterside Karori have 1 wins in their last 3 matches. Petone have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 41% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Waterside Karori or Petone?
Our model rates Petone as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Waterside Karori vs Petone?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.