Dunedin City Royals vs Selwyn United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Dunedin City Royalsvs
Selwyn UnitedThe model puts Dunedin City Royals at 65%. The model leans toward Dunedin City Royals. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Dunedin City Royals have 0 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Dunedin City Royals is priced at 1.41.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 22 | 8 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 25 | 9 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 5 | ||||
| 3 | 6 | 2 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Dunedin City Royals at 65%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Selwyn United at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Dunedin City Royals. Dunedin City Royals is priced at 1.41. The draw is priced at 4.7. Selwyn United is priced at 5.58.
Dunedin City Royals have 0 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 20% for both teams to score. The model gives 19% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dunedin City Royals or Selwyn United?
Our model rates Dunedin City Royals as the most likely outcome at 65% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dunedin City Royals vs Selwyn United?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.