Western Springs vs Eastern Suburbs Auckland: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Western Springsvs
Eastern Suburbs AucklandThe model puts Eastern Suburbs Auckland at 56%. The model leans toward Eastern Suburbs Auckland. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Western Springs have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Eastern Suburbs Auckland is priced at 1.6.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Western Springs at 20%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Eastern Suburbs Auckland at 56%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Eastern Suburbs Auckland. Western Springs is priced at 4.775. The draw is priced at 3.75. Eastern Suburbs Auckland is priced at 1.6.
Western Springs have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
The model gives 36% for both teams to score. The model gives 33% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Western Springs or Eastern Suburbs Auckland?
Our model rates Eastern Suburbs Auckland as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Western Springs vs Eastern Suburbs Auckland?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.