Fencibles United vs East Coast Bays: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Fencibles Unitedvs
East Coast BaysThe model puts Fencibles United at 46%. The model leans toward Fencibles United. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Fencibles United.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Fencibles United have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- East Coast Bays have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Fencibles United is priced at 2.1.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Fencibles United at 46%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts East Coast Bays at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Fencibles United is priced at 2.1. The draw is priced at 3.58. East Coast Bays is priced at 2.887.
Fencibles United have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Fencibles United are on 5 wins in a row. East Coast Bays have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 69% for both teams to score. The model gives 71% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Fencibles United or East Coast Bays?
Our model rates Fencibles United as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Fencibles United vs East Coast Bays?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.