Tauranga City United vs Auckland II: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Tauranga City Unitedvs
Auckland IIThe model puts Auckland II at 51%. The model leans toward Auckland II. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Auckland II.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Tauranga City United have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Auckland II have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Auckland II is priced at 1.853.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Tauranga City United at 27%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Auckland II at 51%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Auckland II. Tauranga City United is priced at 3.36. The draw is priced at 3.78. Auckland II is priced at 1.853.
Tauranga City United have 1 wins in their last 4 matches. Auckland II have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tauranga City United or Auckland II?
Our model rates Auckland II as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tauranga City United vs Auckland II?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.