Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Modbury Jets: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Adelaide Blue Eaglesvs
Modbury JetsThe model puts Adelaide Blue Eagles at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Adelaide Blue Eagles.
- −The head-to-head record favours Modbury Jets (0-1-5).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Adelaide Blue Eagles have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Modbury Jets have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Adelaide Blue Eagles is priced at 2.25.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Adelaide Blue Eagles at 41%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Modbury Jets at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Adelaide Blue Eagles is priced at 2.25. The draw is priced at 3.54. Modbury Jets is priced at 2.59.
Modbury Jets have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Adelaide Blue Eagles have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Modbury Jets have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Adelaide Blue Eagles or Modbury Jets?
Our model rates Adelaide Blue Eagles as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Modbury Jets?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Adelaide Blue Eagles wins, 1 draws, 5 Modbury Jets wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
Modbury Jets make it count (Unknown (45+5')). It's 0–1 at this point.
Half-time score: Adelaide Blue Eagles 0 – 1 Modbury Jets.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (0–1)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–1)
League table
Australia. South Australia. State League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Adelaide Raiders | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 46:23 | 34 |
| 2 |  Fulham United | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 37:24 | 33 |
| 3 |  Adelaide Olympic | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 32:23 | 31 |
| 4 |  Adelaide Atletico | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33:24 | 30 |
| 5 | Modbury Jets | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 30:13 | 29 |
| 6 | Adelaide Blue Eagles | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28:24 | 27 |
| 7 |  Cumberland United | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 29:23 | 25 |
| 8 |  The Cove | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 24:24 | 25 |
| 9 |  Eastern United | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 18:33 | 16 |
| 10 |  Adelaide Cobras | 17 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 21:37 | 16 |
| 11 |  Salisbury United | 17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 19:39 | 11 |
| 12 |  South Adelaide Panthers | 17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 17:47 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.