Tammeka Tartu U21 vs JK Trans Narva U21: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts JK Trans Narva U21 at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours JK Trans Narva U21.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Tammeka Tartu U21 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- JK Trans Narva U21 have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tammeka Tartu U21 have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- JK Trans Narva U21 is priced at 2.16.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Tammeka Tartu U21 at 35%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts JK Trans Narva U21 at 43%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market frames this as a close contest. Tammeka Tartu U21 is priced at 2.47. The draw is priced at 4.1. JK Trans Narva U21 is priced at 2.16.
Tammeka Tartu U21 have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. JK Trans Narva U21 have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Tammeka Tartu U21 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. JK Trans Narva U21 have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. JK Trans Narva U21 are on 4 wins in a row.
The model gives 65% for both teams to score. The model gives 64% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tammeka Tartu U21 or JK Trans Narva U21?
Our model rates JK Trans Narva U21 as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tammeka Tartu U21 vs JK Trans Narva U21?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Tammeka Tartu U21 wins, 1 draws, 2 JK Trans Narva U21 wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Estonia. Esiliiga B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 52:36 | 35 | |
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 55:39 | 34 | |
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 43:26 | 32 | |
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 54:38 | 32 | |
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 45:45 | 31 | |
| 6 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 44:33 | 29 | |
| 7 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 33:50 | 27 | |
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 39:40 | 22 | |
| 9 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 37:42 | 14 | |
| 10 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 14:67 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.