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Estonia. Esiliiga B

Tammeka Tartu U21 vs JK Trans Narva U21: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Tammeka Tartu U21 Tammeka Tartu U21vsJK Trans Narva U21 JK Trans Narva U21
Our predictionJK Trans Narva U21 to win
Model score: Medium · 36/100
Score hint: 1-2

The model puts JK Trans Narva U21 at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Tammeka Tartu U21Draw2 · JK Trans Narva U21
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

O/U 2.5Under 2.53.90+13.0%
BTTSNo3.88+11.4%
1X2JK Trans Narva U212.16+1.7%
1X2Draw4.10-0.3%
1X2Tammeka Tartu U212.47-1.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Tammeka Tartu U21LDLWW
JK Trans Narva U21WWWWD

Expected goals

1.59Tammeka Tartu U21
xG
1.70JK Trans Narva U21
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score65%
Team strength rating
Tammeka Tartu U21
47
JK Trans Narva U21
68

Most likely scorelines

1-110.1%
1-28.6%
2-18.0%
2-26.8%
0-16.3%
1-05.9%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Tammeka Tartu U21 JK Trans Narva U21

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2JK Trans Narva U21 win2.16Fair (+1.7%)
Double chanceJK Trans Narva U21 or drawInfo
Total goalsOver 2.51.18Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
046531
1610952
258742
33442
421
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Tammeka Tartu U21 at 35%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts JK Trans Narva U21 at 43%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.

The market frames this as a close contest. Tammeka Tartu U21 is priced at 2.47. The draw is priced at 4.1. JK Trans Narva U21 is priced at 2.16.

Tammeka Tartu U21 have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. JK Trans Narva U21 have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Tammeka Tartu U21 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. JK Trans Narva U21 have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. JK Trans Narva U21 are on 4 wins in a row.

The model gives 65% for both teams to score. The model gives 64% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Tammeka Tartu U21 or JK Trans Narva U21?

Our model rates JK Trans Narva U21 as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Tammeka Tartu U21 vs JK Trans Narva U21?

A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 3 Tammeka Tartu U21 wins, 1 draws, 2 JK Trans Narva U21 wins.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Estonia. Esiliiga B
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2118115252:3635
2Viljandi Tulevik19117155:3934
3JK Trans Narva U2117105243:2632
4Parnu Vaprus U2118106254:3832
5Phoenix Johvi18107145:4531
6Levadia U191897244:3329
7Tabasalu19910033:5027
8Tartu Kalev18710139:4022
9Tallinna Kalev U2118412237:4214
10Legion Tallinna17214114:677
Promotion - Estonia. Esiliiga Promotion - Estonia. Esiliiga (Promotion) Estonia. Esiliiga B (Play-off) Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.