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Estonia. Esiliiga B

Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Levadia U19: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Tallinna Kalev U21 Tallinna Kalev U21vsLevadia U19 Levadia U19
Our predictionLevadia U19 to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 0-2

The model puts Levadia U19 at 63%. The model leans toward Levadia U19. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Tallinna Kalev U21Draw2 · Levadia U19
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo3.88+20.5%
O/U 2.5Under 2.54.80+18.0%
1X2Levadia U191.47+1.1%
1X2Tallinna Kalev U214.64-0.1%
1X2Draw4.85-1.0%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Tallinna Kalev U21
34
Levadia U19
70

Expected goals

0.98Tallinna Kalev U21
xG
2.25Levadia U19
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams to score56%

Recent form

Tallinna Kalev U21LLWLL
Levadia U19WWDLW

Most likely scorelines

0-210.0%
1-29.8%
0-18.9%
1-18.7%
0-37.5%
1-37.4%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Tallinna Kalev U21 Levadia U19

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Levadia U19 win1.47Fair (+1.1%)
Total goalsOver 2.51.15Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
04910842
14910742
224542
3121
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Tallinna Kalev U21 at 19%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Levadia U19 at 63%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.

The market leans toward Levadia U19. Tallinna Kalev U21 is priced at 4.64. The draw is priced at 4.85. Levadia U19 is priced at 1.47.

Tallinna Kalev U21 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Tallinna Kalev U21 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Levadia U19 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Levadia U19 are on 2 wins in a row.

The model gives 56% for both teams to score. The model gives 63% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Tallinna Kalev U21 or Levadia U19?

Our model rates Levadia U19 as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Levadia U19?

A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 2 meetings: 1 Tallinna Kalev U21 wins, 1 draws, 0 Levadia U19 wins.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Estonia. Esiliiga B
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2118115252:3635
2Viljandi Tulevik19117155:3934
3JK Trans Narva U2117105243:2632
4Parnu Vaprus U2118106254:3832
5Phoenix Johvi18107145:4531
6Levadia U191897244:3329
7Tabasalu19910033:5027
8Tartu Kalev18710139:4022
9Tallinna Kalev U2118412237:4214
10Legion Tallinna17214114:677
Promotion - Estonia. Esiliiga Promotion - Estonia. Esiliiga (Promotion) Estonia. Esiliiga B (Play-off) Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.