Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Levadia U19: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Levadia U19 at 63%. The model leans toward Levadia U19. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Levadia U19.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Tallinna Kalev U21 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Levadia U19 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tallinna Kalev U21 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Levadia U19 is priced at 1.47.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 2 |
| 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Tallinna Kalev U21 at 19%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Levadia U19 at 63%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Levadia U19. Tallinna Kalev U21 is priced at 4.64. The draw is priced at 4.85. Levadia U19 is priced at 1.47.
Tallinna Kalev U21 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Tallinna Kalev U21 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Levadia U19 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Levadia U19 are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 56% for both teams to score. The model gives 63% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tallinna Kalev U21 or Levadia U19?
Our model rates Levadia U19 as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Levadia U19?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Tallinna Kalev U21 wins, 1 draws, 0 Levadia U19 wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Estonia. Esiliiga B| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 52:36 | 35 | |
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 55:39 | 34 | |
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 43:26 | 32 | |
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 54:38 | 32 | |
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 45:45 | 31 | |
| 6 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 44:33 | 29 | |
| 7 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 33:50 | 27 | |
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 39:40 | 22 | |
| 9 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 37:42 | 14 | |
| 10 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 14:67 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.