AFC Ann Arbor vs Kalamazoo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
AFC Ann Arborvs
KalamazooThe model puts AFC Ann Arbor at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Kalamazoo.
- +The head-to-head record favours AFC Ann Arbor (3-2-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- AFC Ann Arbor have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kalamazoo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- AFC Ann Arbor have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- AFC Ann Arbor is priced at 2.14.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts AFC Ann Arbor at 42%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Kalamazoo at 37%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. AFC Ann Arbor is priced at 2.14. The draw is priced at 4.05. Kalamazoo is priced at 2.51.
AFC Ann Arbor have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Kalamazoo have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
AFC Ann Arbor have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Kalamazoo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, AFC Ann Arbor or Kalamazoo?
Our model rates AFC Ann Arbor as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for AFC Ann Arbor vs Kalamazoo?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 AFC Ann Arbor wins, 2 draws, 1 Kalamazoo wins.
Odds movement
League table
USA. USL League Two| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vermont Green | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 64:12 | 40 |
| 2 |  New England | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 32:21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Western Mass Pioneers | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27:20 | 27 |
| 4 |  Black Rock | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 5 |  Albany Rush | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 21:33 | 19 |
| 6 |  Seacoast United Phantoms | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 25:28 | 14 |
| 7 |  Connecticut Rush | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 19:26 | 14 |
| 8 |  Boston Bolts | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17:26 | 12 |
| 9 |  AC Connecticut | 13 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 17:29 | 6 |
| 10 |  Boston City | 13 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 17:49 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.