St Croix Legends vs Rockford Raptors: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
St Croix Legendsvs
Rockford RaptorsThe model puts St Croix Legends at 45%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours St Croix Legends.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- St Croix Legends have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rockford Raptors have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- St Croix Legends have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- St Croix Legends is priced at 2.16.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts St Croix Legends at 45%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Rockford Raptors at 33%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. St Croix Legends is priced at 2.16. The draw is priced at 3.85. Rockford Raptors is priced at 2.639.
St Croix Legends have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
St Croix Legends have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. St Croix Legends are on 2 wins in a row. Rockford Raptors have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, St Croix Legends or Rockford Raptors?
Our model rates St Croix Legends as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for St Croix Legends vs Rockford Raptors?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 St Croix Legends wins, 0 draws, 0 Rockford Raptors wins.
Odds movement
League table
USA. USL League Two| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vermont Green | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 64:12 | 40 |
| 2 |  New England | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 32:21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Western Mass Pioneers | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27:20 | 27 |
| 4 |  Black Rock | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 5 |  Albany Rush | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 21:33 | 19 |
| 6 |  Seacoast United Phantoms | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 25:28 | 14 |
| 7 |  Connecticut Rush | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 19:26 | 14 |
| 8 |  Boston Bolts | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17:26 | 12 |
| 9 |  AC Connecticut | 13 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 17:29 | 6 |
| 10 |  Boston City | 13 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 17:49 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.