Portland Hearts of Pine vs New York Cosmos: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Portland Hearts of Pinevs
New York CosmosThe model puts Portland Hearts of Pine at 54%. The model leans toward Portland Hearts of Pine. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Portland Hearts of Pine.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Portland Hearts of Pine have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- New York Cosmos have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Portland Hearts of Pine have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Portland Hearts of Pine is priced at 1.74.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Portland Hearts of Pine at 54%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts New York Cosmos at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Portland Hearts of Pine. Portland Hearts of Pine is priced at 1.74. The draw is priced at 3.72. New York Cosmos is priced at 3.87.
Portland Hearts of Pine have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Portland Hearts of Pine have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Portland Hearts of Pine are on 2 wins in a row. New York Cosmos have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Portland Hearts of Pine or New York Cosmos?
Our model rates Portland Hearts of Pine as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Portland Hearts of Pine vs New York Cosmos?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 2 Portland Hearts of Pine wins, 0 draws, 0 New York Cosmos wins.
League table
USA. USL Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sacramento Republic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 8 |
| 2 |  Spokane Velocity | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:5 | 6 |
| 3 |  Athletic Boise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:6 | 5 |
| 4 |  Oakland Roots | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 5 |  Monterey Bay | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 6 |  Las Vegas Lights | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:5 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.