Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Pittsburgh Riverhoundsvs
Loudoun UnitedThe model puts Pittsburgh Riverhounds at 47%. The model leans toward Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Loudoun United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds is priced at 1.92.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Pittsburgh Riverhounds at 47%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Loudoun United at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Pittsburgh Riverhounds is priced at 1.92. The draw is priced at 3.18. Loudoun United is priced at 3.76.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Loudoun United have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Loudoun United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Pittsburgh Riverhounds or Loudoun United?
Our model rates Pittsburgh Riverhounds as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds wins, 1 draws, 3 Loudoun United wins.
League table
USA. USL Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sacramento Republic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 8 |
| 2 |  Spokane Velocity | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:5 | 6 |
| 3 |  Athletic Boise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:6 | 5 |
| 4 |  Oakland Roots | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 5 |  Monterey Bay | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 6 |  Las Vegas Lights | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:5 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.