Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Greenville Triumphvs
Richmond KickersThe model puts Greenville Triumph at 57%. The model leans toward Greenville Triumph. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Greenville Triumph.
- +The head-to-head record favours Greenville Triumph (3-2-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Greenville Triumph have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Richmond Kickers have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Greenville Triumph have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Greenville Triumph is priced at 1.67.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Greenville Triumph at 57%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Richmond Kickers at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Greenville Triumph. Greenville Triumph is priced at 1.67. The draw is priced at 3.64. Richmond Kickers is priced at 4.38.
Greenville Triumph have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Richmond Kickers have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Greenville Triumph have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Richmond Kickers have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Greenville Triumph or Richmond Kickers?
Our model rates Greenville Triumph as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Greenville Triumph wins, 2 draws, 1 Richmond Kickers wins.
League table
USA. USL Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sacramento Republic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 8 |
| 2 |  Spokane Velocity | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:5 | 6 |
| 3 |  Athletic Boise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:6 | 5 |
| 4 |  Oakland Roots | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 5 |  Monterey Bay | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 6 |  Las Vegas Lights | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:5 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.