Sarasota Paradise vs Miami: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sarasota Paradisevs
MiamiThe model puts Miami at 47%. The model leans toward Miami. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Sarasota Paradise have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Miami have 0 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Miami is priced at 1.9.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sarasota Paradise at 27%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Miami at 47%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Miami. Sarasota Paradise is priced at 3.515. The draw is priced at 3.45. Miami is priced at 1.9.
Sarasota Paradise have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Miami have 0 wins in their last 4 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 40% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sarasota Paradise or Miami?
Our model rates Miami as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sarasota Paradise vs Miami?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
USA. USL Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sacramento Republic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 8 |
| 2 |  Spokane Velocity | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:5 | 6 |
| 3 |  Athletic Boise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:6 | 5 |
| 4 |  Oakland Roots | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 5 |  Monterey Bay | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 6 |  Las Vegas Lights | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:5 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.