Charleston Battery vs Charlotte Independence: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Charleston Batteryvs
Charlotte IndependenceThe model puts Charleston Battery at 60%. The model leans toward Charleston Battery. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Charleston Battery have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Charlotte Independence have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Charleston Battery have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Charleston Battery is priced at 1.5.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Charleston Battery at 60%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Charlotte Independence at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Charleston Battery. Charleston Battery is priced at 1.5. The draw is priced at 4.1. Charlotte Independence is priced at 5.23.
Charleston Battery have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Charlotte Independence have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
Charleston Battery have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Charlotte Independence have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Charleston Battery or Charlotte Independence?
Our model rates Charleston Battery as the most likely outcome at 60% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Charleston Battery vs Charlotte Independence?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Charleston Battery wins, 0 draws, 3 Charlotte Independence wins.
League table
USA. USL Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sacramento Republic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 8 |
| 2 |  Spokane Velocity | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:5 | 6 |
| 3 |  Athletic Boise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:6 | 5 |
| 4 |  Oakland Roots | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 5 |  Monterey Bay | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 6 |  Las Vegas Lights | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:5 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.