Hudson Valley Hammers vs Cedar Stars Rush: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hudson Valley Hammersvs
Cedar Stars RushThe model puts Hudson Valley Hammers at 55%. The model leans toward Hudson Valley Hammers. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Cedar Stars Rush.
- −The head-to-head record favours Cedar Stars Rush (0-0-6).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hudson Valley Hammers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cedar Stars Rush have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hudson Valley Hammers is priced at 1.58.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hudson Valley Hammers at 55%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Cedar Stars Rush at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Hudson Valley Hammers. Hudson Valley Hammers is priced at 1.58. The draw is priced at 4.2. Cedar Stars Rush is priced at 4.355.
Cedar Stars Rush have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
Hudson Valley Hammers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Cedar Stars Rush have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hudson Valley Hammers or Cedar Stars Rush?
Our model rates Hudson Valley Hammers as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hudson Valley Hammers vs Cedar Stars Rush?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Hudson Valley Hammers wins, 0 draws, 6 Cedar Stars Rush wins.
League table
USA. USL League Two| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vermont Green | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 64:12 | 40 |
| 2 |  New England | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 32:21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Western Mass Pioneers | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27:20 | 27 |
| 4 |  Black Rock | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 5 |  Albany Rush | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 21:33 | 19 |
| 6 |  Seacoast United Phantoms | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 25:28 | 14 |
| 7 |  Connecticut Rush | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 19:26 | 14 |
| 8 |  Boston Bolts | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17:26 | 12 |
| 9 |  AC Connecticut | 13 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 17:29 | 6 |
| 10 |  Boston City | 13 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 17:49 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.