Annapolis Blues vs Bethesda SC: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Annapolis Bluesvs
Bethesda SCThe model puts Annapolis Blues at 61%. The model leans toward Annapolis Blues. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Bethesda SC.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Annapolis Blues have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bethesda SC have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Annapolis Blues is priced at 1.454.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Annapolis Blues at 61%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Bethesda SC at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Annapolis Blues. Annapolis Blues is priced at 1.454. The draw is priced at 4.65. Bethesda SC is priced at 5.06.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Annapolis Blues have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Bethesda SC have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Annapolis Blues or Bethesda SC?
Our model rates Annapolis Blues as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Annapolis Blues vs Bethesda SC?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Annapolis Blues wins, 1 draws, 0 Bethesda SC wins.
Odds movement
League table
USA. USL League Two| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vermont Green | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 64:12 | 40 |
| 2 |  New England | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 32:21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Western Mass Pioneers | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27:20 | 27 |
| 4 |  Black Rock | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 5 |  Albany Rush | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 21:33 | 19 |
| 6 |  Seacoast United Phantoms | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 25:28 | 14 |
| 7 |  Connecticut Rush | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 19:26 | 14 |
| 8 |  Boston Bolts | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17:26 | 12 |
| 9 |  AC Connecticut | 13 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 17:29 | 6 |
| 10 |  Boston City | 13 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 17:49 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.